Estimating Active Cases of COVID-19
Abstract
Having accurate and timely data on confirmed active COVID-19 cases is challenging, since it depends on testing capacity and the availability of an appropriate infrastructure to perform tests and aggregate their results. In this paper, we propose methods to estimate the number of active cases of COVID-19 from the official data (of confirmed cases and fatalities) and from survey data. We show that the latter is a viable option in countries with reduced testing capacity or suboptimal infrastructures.
- Publication:
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arXiv e-prints
- Pub Date:
- August 2021
- DOI:
- arXiv:
- arXiv:2108.03284
- Bibcode:
- 2021arXiv210803284A
- Keywords:
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- Physics - Physics and Society;
- Computer Science - Distributed;
- Parallel;
- and Cluster Computing;
- Statistics - Computation
- E-Print:
- Presented at the 2nd KDD Workshop on Data-driven Humanitarian Mapping: Harnessing Human-Machine Intelligence for High-Stake Public Policy and Resiliency Planning, August 15, 2021