Parameter estimation from ICC curves
Abstract
Incidence vs Cumulative Cases (ICC) curves are introduced and shown to provide a simple framework for parameter identification in the case of the most elementary epidemiological model, consisting of susceptible, infected, and removed compartments. This novel methodology is used to estimate the basic reproduction ratio of recent outbreaks, including the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic.
- Publication:
-
Journal of Biological Dynamics
- Pub Date:
- January 2021
- DOI:
- 10.1080/17513758.2021.1912419
- arXiv:
- arXiv:2005.08134
- Bibcode:
- 2021JBioD..15..195L
- Keywords:
-
- Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution;
- 92D30
- E-Print:
- Journal of Biological Dynamics 15, 195-212 (2021)