Slowing down of cosmic growth of supermassive black holes: theoretical prediction of the Eddington ratio distribution

We show the Eddington ratio distributions of supermassive black holes at a wide redshift range (0 < z < 8) obtained with a semi-analytic model of galaxy formation. The distribution is broadly consistent with observational estimates at low redshift. We find that the growth rate of black holes at higher redshift is more likely to exceed the Eddington limit because the typical gas fraction of the host galaxies is higher at higher redshift. We also find that the super-Eddington growth is more common for less massive supermassive black holes, supporting an idea that supermassive black holes have been formed via super-Eddington accretion. These results indicate the `slowing down' of cosmic growth of supermassive black holes: the growth of supermassive black holes with a higher Eddington ratio peaks at higher redshift. We also show the effect of the sample selection on the shape of the Eddington ratio distribution functions and find that shallower observations will miss active galactic nuclei with not only the smaller but also higher Eddington ratios.