Fitting B/C cosmic-ray data in the AMS-02 era: a cookbook. Model numerical precision, data covariance matrix of errors, cross-section nuisance parameters, and mock data
Abstract
Context. AMS-02 on the International Space Station has been releasing data of unprecedented accuracy. This poses new challenges for their interpretation.
Aims: We refine the methodology to get a statistically sound determination of the cosmic-ray propagation parameters. We inspect the numerical precision of the model calculation, nuclear cross-section uncertainties, and energy correlations in data systematic errors.
Methods: We used the 1D diffusion model in USINE. Our χ2 analysis includes a covariance matrix of errors for AMS-02 systematics and nuisance parameters to account for cross-section uncertainties. Mock data were used to validate some of our choices.
Results: We show that any mis-modelling of nuclear cross-section values or the energy correlation length of the covariance matrix of errors biases the analysis. It also makes good models (χmin2/d.o.f. ≈ 1) appear as excluded (χmin2/d.o.f. ≫ 1). We provide a framework to mitigate these effects (AMS-02 data are interpreted in a companion paper). Conclusion. New production cross-section data and the publication by the AMS-02 collaboration of a covariance matrix of errors for each data set would be an important step towards an unbiased view of cosmic-ray propagation in the Galaxy.
- Publication:
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Astronomy and Astrophysics
- Pub Date:
- July 2019
- DOI:
- arXiv:
- arXiv:1904.08210
- Bibcode:
- 2019A&A...627A.158D
- Keywords:
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- astroparticle physics;
- diffusion;
- methods: miscellaneous;
- cosmic rays;
- Astrophysics - High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena;
- High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
- E-Print:
- 24 pages, 23 figures, 3 tables: affiliations corrected