Inferring drivers of California's Big Sur Landslide from precursory slope deformations measured with spaceborne radar interferometry.

Hours before the landslide that came to be known as the Big Sur slide destroyed a stretch of Highway 1 in southern California, the European Space Agency's Sentinel-1B satellite passed over the area and acquired the last radar images of the still intact slope. Shortly thereafter, an estimated 1 million tons of soil and debris plunged into the Pacific Ocean, enlarging California's land area by roughly 13 acres. Results from differential interferometric synthetic aperture radar (DInSAR) produced from the most recent Sentinel images show a clear signal of the impending landslide, measured prior to the slope failure. In fact, an entire time-series of precursory slope displacements emerges from the radar data that extend back several months. Over southern California, the Sentinel-1A and 1B satellites acquire images every 6 or 12 days, providing a unique dataset that allows us to investigate the physical processes that drive the displacement leading up to the final failure. Here we explore the role of pore water pressure and rainfall as drivers of slope motion and we investigate whether precursory displacement can provide indication about the timing of the detachment. We also analyze the influence of DEM and interferogram resolution on the displacement results and evaluate the suitability of radar interferometry for landslide monitoring.