`Blame' Hawaii for Extreme Cold Air Outbreaks on the US West Coast?
Abstract
Short term extreme cold events punctuate the climate record. Though not always captured by monthly or seasonal means, they can have impacts lasting months. Extreme cold air outbreaks affecting the US West Coast are associated with a specific large scale meteorological pattern (LSMP). The LSMP has large meridional displacements of warm and cold air that create a ridge over and south of western Alaska, then a trough downstream moving with the cold air of the CAO, and finally another ridge over the southeastern US. These three features form in that order over several days leading up to the CAO onset. The warm advection creating the Alaskan ridge displaces cold air which is then advected southward along the North American west coast. Our recent work shows that both advections are driven by a lower level highly unusual high pressure center near the Gulf of Alaska. The cold air advection includes a continental interior portion (which sets up an offshore pressure gradient) and a portion off the west coast (air parcels high enough to be little modified before sinking over the US West Coast). In the mid to upper troposphere there are additional cyclonic centers to the south of the Alaskan ridge. Depending on the region compared, the LSMP has notable pattern correlation (up to 0.7) with the Pacific-North American teleconnection (PNA) negative phase pattern. (Others have shown a link between the PNA negative phase and unusual cold over northwestern North America on longer time scales. Here we find a higher frequency LSMP having centers offset from corresponding centers in the negative phase PNA loading pattern.) Even earlier before onset, we find a connection to a stream function structure straddling the equator that shares properties with slow moving equatorial Rossby waves; this pattern includes a trough near Hawaii that appears linked to the Alaskan ridge building that initiates the CAO. Hence, we arrive at our provocative title. All these features in the geopotential and stream function fields are highly significant from bootstrap statistics. The presentation will emphasize the time evolution of these significant features.
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2017
- Bibcode:
- 2017AGUFM.A51K..08G
- Keywords:
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- 3305 Climate change and variability;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES;
- 3329 Mesoscale meteorology;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES;
- 3372 Tropical cyclones;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES;
- 4313 Extreme events;
- NATURAL HAZARDS