Domain size sensitivities of landfalling eastern Pacific atmospheric rivers
Abstract
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) concentrate a majority of mid-latitude latent heat transport into narrow bands. ARs making landfall along the North American coast typically originate in the waters surrounding Hawaii. We explore here the effects of explicitly simulating this "genesis region" on AR characteristics. We do this using two models and three domains centered on the North American coast. The Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model, forced by National Center for Environmental Prediction Final Reanalysis data, provides a representative regional model. The simulation domains include: 1. Just off the coastline (100-130W), 2. The coastline to the Pacific just east of Hawaii (100-155W), and 3. The coastline to the Pacific west of Hawaii (100-180W). The Variable Resolution Community Earth System Model simulates ARs while preserving global interactions. In this global model, "domain" refers to the mesh refinement region, each of which corresponds to one of the three previously described WRF domains. We compare ARs from the wet season (October-April) for water years 2009-2017 in the test models against those found in the Modern Era Retrospective Reanalysis 2 (MERRA2). We objectively detect events with the global AR detection algorithm introduced in Guan and Waliser (2015). Comparisons between all model configurations and the reference MERRA2 data will be assessed by characteristics including landfall location (meridional distributions, including quartile ranges and standard deviations of landfalls across the coast), as well as vapor flux and precipitation (in terms of both the contribution of ARs to the larger regional climatology and any differences in the intensity of individual AR events across runs).
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2017
- Bibcode:
- 2017AGUFM.A33H2495M
- Keywords:
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- 3329 Mesoscale meteorology;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES;
- 3364 Synoptic-scale meteorology;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES;
- 1833 Hydroclimatology;
- HYDROLOGY;
- 1840 Hydrometeorology;
- HYDROLOGY