Spatio-temporal Variations of Nitrogen Dioxide Pollution in China, 2005-2015

China has experienced rapid economic growth in recent decades, accompanied with intensive urbanization and industrialization. This economic growth has led to many significant environmental problems, including deteriorating nitrogen dioxide (NO2) pollution. NO2 is a key air pollutant, and it plays a major role in the tropospheric chemistry. This thesis investigates the extent to which the characteristics of NO2 pollution changes at different spatial and temporal scales reflects regional inequality in economic and environmental policies enforced by Chinese governments, which has important implications for future emission control. The objective of this thesis is to investigate the spatial and temporal variability and trends of tropospheric NO2 pollution over China, by analyzing the NO2 vertical column density (VCD) data over 2005 to 2015 retrieved from the space-borne Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI). It is found that over most polluted regions in China, the NO2 columns increased rapidly since 2005, reached their peaks around 2011, and started to decline afterwards. Over parts of Eastern China, the NO2 levels in 2015 were close to the levels in 2005. Furthermore, severe pollution has extended from the traditional highly developed regions in Eastern China to newly emerged cities clusters in the west. Further comparisons with GEOS-Chem model simulations for 2005-2012 confirm that the OMI observed NO2 trends were driven mainly by changes in anthropogenic emissions. Then the long-term trends of NO2 over 2005-2013 from other scales of temporal variability over provincial-level regions of Western China were further distinguished, by using a wavelet decomposition analysis. The anthropogenic NO2 grew rapidly over Western China at a regional average rate of 8.6 +/- 0.9% yr-1 between 2005 and 2013. The rate of NO2 growth during 2005-2013 reached 11.3 +/- 1.0% yr-1 over Northwestern China, exceeding the rates over Southwestern China (5.9 +/- 0.6 % yr-1) and the three well-known polluted regions in the east (5.3 +/- 0.8% yr-1 over Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, 4.0 +/- 0.6% yr-1 over the Yangtze River Delta, and -3.3 +/- 0.3% yr-1 over the Pearl River Delta). Subsequent socioeconomic analyses suggest that the rapid NO 2 growth over Northwestern China is likely related to the fast developing resource- and pollution-intensive industries along with the "Go West" movement as well as relatively weak emission controls. Finally, the signal of urbanization between 2005 and 2015 in the prefectural-level cities was identified from the OMI NO2 data, by using a high-resolution NO2 VCD dataset (with a spatial resolution of 0.125° x 0.125°) to derive three relevant metrics ("size relative trend" as a metric for urban area expansion, "mean relative trend" for mean urban pollution, and "max relative trend" for peak intensity). Additionally, the comparisons of the spatial distribution of annual mean NO 2 VCDs over China with night light data and population density data in 2010 show the similar spatial patterns of NO2, nighttime light and population density: the correlation coefficients get to 0.74 between NO 2 and night light and 0.66 between NO2 and population density. This highlights the consequences of urbanization for pollution and health impacts. Finally, a geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model is employed to explore the spatio-temporal relationship between NO 2 pollution and GDP at a city level over 2005-2013. The GTWR model results show that cities with highest positive estimated parameters were mainly those less developed cities from inland China by providing energy sources and semi-products to coastal cities in the east. For most cities, the NO2 pollution per unit of GDP has declined over 2005-2013, reflecting to some extent the success of local emission control that is accompanied with relocation of production and emissions from the east to the west and from richer to poorer areas. In summary, our results suggest that the central and local governments should move to achieve and maintain sustainable development both in Eastern China and in the west, perhaps starting by recognizing the importance of removing regional inequality in economic and environmental policies and by optimizing the eco-compensation mechanism and energy structure. More efforts should be made to alleviate NOx and other pollution to achieve sustainable development in Western China, in addition to reducing pollution in the east.