Forecasting the Arrival of Coronal Mass Ejections: The Drag-Based Model
Abstract
Arrival-time predictions based on the numerical "WSA-ENLIL+Cone model" and the analytical "Drag-based model" (DBM) are analyzed, employing a sample of 50 well observed CMEs. The best match between the two models is obtained if the background solar-wind speed of w = 400 km s-1 is applied in DBM. It is also demonstrated that both models show similar prediction accuracy.
- Publication:
-
Coimbra Solar Physics Meeting: Ground-based Solar Observations in the Space Instrumentation Era
- Pub Date:
- April 2016
- Bibcode:
- 2016ASPC..504..209V