New Briefing Methodology for the Brazilian Study and Monitoring of Space Weather (Embrace) Program.
Abstract
The Brazilian Study and Monitoring of Space Weather (Embrace) Program is being conducted by the National Institute for Space Research (INPE, Brazil) since 2008. Among several activities of the EMBRACE program, there are weekly briefings, held since 2012, where an evaluation is made of all space weather events occurred in the past week. At the beginning, an intuitive methodology was used, in which scientists were invited to present their reports on their subjects of expertise: solar, interplanetary space, geomagnetism, ionosphere and upper atmosphere. Latter on, an additional subject was introduced, with the inclusion of a separate report on the earth's magnetosphere, with special attention to the dynamics of the earth's radiation belts. Since late 2015, the need for a more efficient methodology was felt by the EMBRACE program, inspired by practices long used in forecasting of metheorological weather and climate. In that sense, an atempt to develop scales of disturbances was made. The aim is to be able to faster represent the level of space weather activity in all reported subjects. A huge effort was put together to produce sound indices, based on statistical significance of occurrence of distinct levels. This methodology is partially under practical evaluation since early 2016. In this work we present a report on the progress of the new methodology for EMBRACE program briefing meetings.
- Publication:
-
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2016
- Bibcode:
- 2016AGUFMSH11C2279D
- Keywords:
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- 4305 Space weather;
- NATURAL HAZARDSDE: 7594 Instruments and techniques;
- SOLAR PHYSICS;
- ASTROPHYSICS;
- AND ASTRONOMYDE: 7924 Forecasting;
- SPACE WEATHERDE: 7999 General or miscellaneous;
- SPACE WEATHER