How IPCC Science-Policy Interactions Shape Its Policymaker Summaries
Abstract
Government approval is a defining feature of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment process. In plenary sessions with scientist authors, IPCC member governments discuss and agree each sentence of every report's summary for policymakers (SPM). This consensus-based approval builds joint ownership of scientific knowledge by both scientists and governments. The approval process and its resulting SPM revisions have received extensive attention in published anecdotes and perspectives, but without comprehensive evaluation to date. We present the results of an in-depth analysis of IPCC SPM revisions, providing an evidence basis for understanding a complex science-policy interaction. Revisions resulting from governmental review and approval expand SPMs. SPM text lengthens by 17 to 53% in recent assessment summaries. Political sensitivities and associated failures of consensus have led to prominent exceptions resulting in SPM contractions. Contrasting recent assertions, we find IPCC SPMs to be as readable as other professionally edited assessment summaries, for multiple measures of reading ease. Across metrics, some SPMs, but not all, become more readable through the revision process. We additionally examine each revision in an SPM for which we have deep familiarity. Most of the SPM's revisions occur prior to the in-person government-approval session, and they emphasize different purposes compared to revisions made during the approval session. Revisions prior to the in-person session largely pertain to clarity, scientific rigor, and explanation, whereas the subsequent in-person government-approval revisions place more emphasis on policy relevance, comprehensiveness of examples, and nuances of expert judgment. The value added in the IPCC government-approval process emerges through multiple stages of revision and approval, as scientists and governments together navigate a complex science-policy interaction.
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2016
- Bibcode:
- 2016AGUFMPA31C2216M
- Keywords:
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- 0815 Informal education;
- EDUCATIONDE: 0840 Evaluation and assessment;
- EDUCATIONDE: 6620 Science policy;
- PUBLIC ISSUESDE: 6699 General or miscellaneous;
- PUBLIC ISSUES