Dynamic scaling approach to study time series fluctuations
Abstract
We propose an approach for properly analyzing stochastic time series by mapping the dynamics of time series fluctuations onto a suitable nonequilibrium surface-growth problem. In this framework, the fluctuation sampling time interval plays the role of time variable, whereas the physical time is treated as the analog of spatial variable. In this way we found that the fluctuations of many real-world time series satisfy the analog of the Family-Viscek dynamic scaling ansatz. This finding permits us to use the powerful tools of kinetic roughening theory to classify, model, and forecast the fluctuations of real-world time series.
- Publication:
-
Physical Review E
- Pub Date:
- November 2007
- DOI:
- 10.1103/PhysRevE.76.056120
- arXiv:
- arXiv:0808.3269
- Bibcode:
- 2007PhRvE..76e6120B
- Keywords:
-
- 89.75.Da;
- 05.45.Tp;
- 05.40.-a;
- 83.60.Uv;
- Systems obeying scaling laws;
- Time series analysis;
- Fluctuation phenomena random processes noise and Brownian motion;
- Wave propagation fracture and crack healing;
- Physics - Data Analysis;
- Statistics and Probability;
- Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance
- E-Print:
- 25 pages, 7 figures, 1 table