Integrated Hydrologic Models for Closing the Water Budget: Whitewater River Basin, Kansas

Groundwater and its recharge are unobserved and unmeasured components of the water cycle of a river basin. The objectives of this study were: 1) to evaluate the groundwater component of the water balance for the Whitewater River Basin using a 3-D saturated groundwater model, 2) to compare the groundwater model results with a fully integrated hydrologic model and, 3) to describe the spectral frequency response of the basin to long-term climate forcing. The basin is the Whitewater River, near Wichita, Kansas. The basin has an area of 1,100 square-kilometers, an elevation range of 380 - 470m (amsl), and an average annual precipitation of 858 millimeters. The near-surface geology is comprised of a weathered shale overlying limestone bedrock of Mississippian age. Streamflow and weather records are available from 1960. A steady-state saturated groundwater model (MODFLOW) was implemented assuming a simple two-layer conceptual model. A total of 422 wells with static water levels were available. Using a subset of the wells, a steady-state calibration of MODFLOW was performed by adjusting permeability between the two layers. Steady-state calibration resulted in an R2 of 0.89 for predicted and observed water levels. The remaining wells were used for validation, with an R2 of 0.92. The next step constructed the transient model using a fixed percentage of rainfall as groundwater recharge. For a single observation well the R2 was 0.89 (observed vs. predicted) for the transient calibration and 0.77 for the validation for a year simulation. The final step was to compare MODFLOW to an integrated model to provide a more complete representation of surface hydrologic dynamics. Here MODHMS (developed by HydroGeologic Inc, Herndon, VA) was used since it is MODFLOW-based with 3D variably-saturated groundwater flow, 2D overland flow, and 1D channel flow. MODHMS allows for canopy interception and evapotranspiration so total precipitation and potential evaporation were input to the model for a better estimate of recharge through complete energy and water balance. Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) was used to analyze the temporal response of precipitation, streamflow and groundwater levels from selected points in the model both for MODFLOW and MODHMS results. This paper demonstrates the use of integrated models for determination of groundwater recharge. Time series analysis proved to be a useful tool in identifying climate response within the watershed.