Projections of the Residential Distribution of an Ethnic Group: Indians in Bradford

The population originating in India but living in Bradford and its offspring grew by about 60% over the decade 1971 to 1981 and underwent significant redistribution. An attempt is made to assess how the growth and redistribution patterns of the Indian community are likely to change over the next thirty years, as a result of declining mortality and fertility, of directly observed migration patterns, and of the lessening of migration flows from outside Bradford. Models used to forecast ethnic populations are reviewed and full details are given of the model and data estimation used in the forecast for Bradford's Indian community.