Intercept probability of satellites in circular orbits
Abstract
An analytical and computational approach is provided to calculate the probability that a designated transmitter satellite in circular orbit will intercept a particular receiver satellite also in circular orbit. The term intercept implies that the transmitter satellite passes within some minimum distance of the receiver satellite for a minimum period of time. The probability calculated is the probability of interception within some maximum time interval. This paper discusses the dynamics and definitions leading to intercept probability calculations and compares the predicted intercept probabilities to estimates determined through Monte Carlo techniques.
 Publication:

Journal of Guidance Control Dynamics
 Pub Date:
 February 1985
 DOI:
 10.2514/3.19943
 Bibcode:
 1985JGCD....8..118Z
 Keywords:

 Circular Orbits;
 Orbital Mechanics;
 Probability Theory;
 Satellite Interceptors;
 Satellite Orbits;
 Mathematical Models;
 Monte Carlo Method;
 Receivers;
 Structural Vibration;
 Time Dependence;
 Transmitters;
 Astrodynamics