Development of traffic scenarios for the future Intelsat system

Consideration is given to the development of traffic scenarios for the Intelsat system for the post Intelsat-V time frame (1986-1993). Emphasis is on the development of the Integrated Traffic Data Base which could provide the core for the nominal growth scenario for future user requirements. Perturbations of an established nominal scenario may be produced by judicious application of the conventional services model, the connectivity model, and/or the new services model. The conventional services model provides a means for defining an optimistic/pessimistic range around a given nominal scenario; the connectivity model is intended to contribute additional information concerning the introduction of new links and new ground stations into the system beyond that indicated by the Integrated Traffic Data Base; the new services model is capable of augmenting the entire conventional services picture by yielding traffic forecasts relating to potential new Intelsat service offerings.