Development of a hyper-resolution mathematical model for monitoring and forecasting of adult mosquito
Abstract
Aedes vexan are New Jersey's most serious pest mosquito due to its abundance, widespread distribution and breeding potential in floodwater habitats. Moist and warm soil serves as the primary habitat for the breeding and larval growth of the mosquito but readily available low resolution environmental data set remains the primary challenge to reliably predict them. Here, we modelled the environmental data such as soil moisture, soil temperature at a very high resolution to enable the prediction of Ae. vexan abundance in New Jersey where they are most abundant. A new mathematical model named "EpiHydroClim: A hyper-resolution vector modelling and forecasting system" has been developed to capably predict the spatial abundance of Ae. vexan at a very high resolution (30m). We used an extensive database of weekly light trap surveillance of Ae. vexan at ~82 sites across 21 counties in NJ over the past twenty years. This new mathematical model offers a powerful platform to monitor and forecast hyper resolution mosquito abundance that further enables the capacity building and preparedness for mosquito-transmitted disease control.
- Publication:
-
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2019
- Bibcode:
- 2019AGUFMGH41B1200K
- Keywords:
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- 0230 Impacts of climate change: human health;
- GEOHEALTH;
- 0240 Public health;
- GEOHEALTH;
- 0245 Vector born diseases;
- GEOHEALTH;
- 1813 Eco-hydrology;
- HYDROLOGY