Advancing Best Practices for the Analysis of the Vulnerability of Military Installations in the Pacific Basin to Coastal Flooding under a Changing Climate
Abstract
Coastal flooding takes many forms, ranging from major flooding associated with storms to minor flooding associated with exceptionally high tides and other oceanic and atmospheric phenomena on storm-free days. A major societal challenge is to understand and predict how flood magnitude and frequency will manifest at particular places and times, now and in the future, and specifically how coastal flooding will impact Department of Defense (DoD) installations. To address this challenge, this project aims to advance the practical application of statistical and other analytical techniques that can be used to assess the exposure, and ultimately the vulnerability, of built and natural environments to the impacts of coastal flooding. Among the unique aspects of the work are that it includes region-wide as well as station-based analysis, extends analysis of extreme Still Water Level (SWL) patterns and trends to include the Total Water Level (TWL), and considers the expression of 'lesser extremes' (e.g., sub-annual to sub-decadal event probabilities). Through the formulation of innovative approaches, creation of proof-of-concept products, and development of guidance on methods and best practices, this project will provide engineers, scientists and other practitioners with an enhanced capability to generate information that can be used to support area-wide vulnerability assessment related to climate adaptation planning and disaster risk reduction as well as site-specific analysis related to design and maintenance of facilities and infrastructure. While the focus is on a select set of DOD sites in the Pacific Basin, the results will have broad applicability nationally as well as globally.
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2018
- Bibcode:
- 2018AGUFMNH43C1059S
- Keywords:
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- 3305 Climate change and variability;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSESDE: 4313 Extreme events;
- NATURAL HAZARDSDE: 4328 Risk;
- NATURAL HAZARDSDE: 4534 Hydrodynamic modeling;
- OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL