An Analysis of A Heavy Rain Event Using WRF
Abstract
On the morning of June 06 2016, heavy rainfall fell across the Anchorage Bowl, breaking several daily records. An Urban and small stream flood advisory was issued and some local roads were closed as creeks rapidly rose in response to the quick burst of rain. The event was characterized by high uncertainty, and models indicated a wide range of solutions days before the event. In this presentation, the physical mechanisms behind the heavy rainfall event will be explored, along with sources of uncertainty. The WRF model and MET Tools will be used to further examine which resolution and parameterizations best capture the event and can be used to best predict future heavy precipitation events.
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2016
- Bibcode:
- 2016AGUFMNG32A..04N
- Keywords:
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- 9820 Techniques applicable in three or more fields;
- GENERAL OR MISCELLANEOUSDE: 3238 Prediction;
- MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICSDE: 4410 Bifurcations and attractors;
- NONLINEAR GEOPHYSICSDE: 4430 Complex systems;
- NONLINEAR GEOPHYSICS