The Use of Climate Projections in the Modelling of Bud Burst
Abstract
Recent changes in global climate, such as increasing temperature, have had notable effects on the phenology (timing of biological events) of plants. The effects are variable across habitats and between species, but increasing temperatures have been shown to advance certain key phenophases of trees, such as bud burst (beginning of leaf unfolding). This project considered climate change impacts on phenology of plants at a local scale in Ireland. The output from the ENSEMBLES climate simulations were down-scaled to Ireland and utilised by a phenological model to project changes over the next 50-100 years. This project helps to showcase the potential use of climate simulations in phenological research.
- Publication:
-
EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- May 2010
- Bibcode:
- 2010EGUGA..1215011O