Dynamics of land use and common-resource pressures in terrestrial-aquatic environments
Abstract
Common-pool resource problems can arise in aquatic systems such as lakes, rivers, and open coastlines where individual land-use decisions produce collective, emergent effects at the watershed scale. A body of highly generalized modeling experiments has illustrated ways in which simple, opposing tendencies among individuals—imitative versus self-initiated actions, for example—can result in richly complex behaviors. If the dynamics of those opposing tendencies are translated into different land uses (development, extraction, working land, conservation), each entailing a different environmental consequence, then feedbacks between land-use decisions and resulting changes to the physical environment (which in turn influence subsequent land-use decisions) cause the environmental and social systems of the watershed to become coupled. We present the early results of an exploratory, spatially-extended model that couples a simplified riparian system to a hypothetical group of landowners, each of whom can choose between property development, placing property under a conservation easement, or taking no action and effectively maintaining the property's status quo. As in the generalized experiments, landowner behavior depends on two sets of opposing tendencies, one of which is imitation versus self-initiation. The other is a preference for property consolidation or subdivision; large property holdings can be subdivided into smaller parcels, and small parcels can be bought up by an owner to amass a larger property. Land-use decisions taken by landowners in the model affect the riparian system in process-based ways (sedimentation, eutrophication, water quality) that then inform subsequent social interactions and decisions. Isolating the basic dynamics of this kind of socio-environmental system allows us to pursue a number of questions relevant to resource management. What social and environmental circumstances in this framework result in continuous conservation corridors as opposed to patchworks of easements? How do different kinds of easements, such as those that permit private development and subdivision, affect the integrity of the commons? More broadly, how do changing, heterogeneous patterns of mixed land uses (with different inherent time scales) affect environmental resilience? Dynamical insights from the idealized model dovetail with empirical economic analyses of aquatic-system conservation currently underway in the State of Maine, where opportunities for case studies of specific coupled human/aquatic systems and cross-case comparisons are abundant. This investigation is part of an interdisciplinary project under the auspices of the Sustainability Solutions Initiative at the University of Maine.
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2010
- Bibcode:
- 2010AGUFMNG43B1420L
- Keywords:
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- 0483 BIOGEOSCIENCES / Riparian systems;
- 0510 COMPUTATIONAL GEOPHYSICS / Agent-based models;
- 1632 GLOBAL CHANGE / Land cover change;
- 1834 HYDROLOGY / Human impacts