The Jena Diversity Model: Towards a Richer Representation of the Terrestrial Biosphere for Earth System Modelling
Abstract
The terrestrial biosphere is a complex, self-organizing system which is continually both adapting to and altering its global environment. It also exhibits a vast diversity of vegetation forms and functioning. However, the terrestrial biosphere components within current state-of-the-art Earth System Models abstract this diversity in to a handful of relatively static plant functional types. These coarse and static representations of functional diversity might contribute to overly pessimistic projections regarding terrestrial ecosystem responses to scenarios of global change (e.g. Amazonian and boreal forest diebacks). In the Jena Diversity (JeDi) model, we introduce a new approach to vegetation modelling with a richer representation of functional diversity, based not on plant functional types, but on unavoidable plant ecophysiological trade-offs, which we hypothesize should be more stable in time. The JeDi model tests a large number of plant growth strategies. Each growth strategy is simulated using a set of randomly generated parameter values, which characterize its functioning in terms of carbon allocation, ecophysiology, and phenology, which are then linked to the growing conditions at the land surface. The model is constructed in such a way that these parameters inherently lead to ecophysiological trade-offs, which determine whether a growth strategy is able to survive and reproduce under the prevalent climatic conditions. Kleidon and Mooney (2000) demonstrated that this approach is capable of reproducing the geographic distribution of species richness. More recently, we have shown the JeDi model can explain other biogeographical phenomena including the present-day global pattern of biomes (Reu et al., accepted), ecosystem evenness (Kleidon et al. 2009), and possible mechanisms for biome shifts and biodiversity changes under scenarios of global warming (Reu et al., submitted). We have also evaluated the simulated biogeochemical fluxes from JeDi against a variety of site, field, and satellite observations (Pavlick et al., submitted) following a protocol established by the Carbon-Land Model Intercomparison Project (Randerson et al. 2009). We found that the global patterns of biogeochemical fluxes and land surface properties are reasonably well simulated using this bottom-up trade-off approach and compare favorably with other state of the art terrestrial biosphere models. Here, we present some results from JeDi simulations, wherein we varied the modelled functional diversity to quantify its impact on terrestrial biogeochemical fluxes under both present-day conditions and projected scenarios of global change. We also present results from a set of simulations wherein we vary the ability of the modelled ecosystems to adapt through changes in functional composition, leading to different projection responses of the carbon cycle to global warming. This plant functional tradeoff approach sets the foundation for many applications, including exploring the emergence and climatic impacts of major vegetation transitions throughout the last 400 million years as well as quantifying the significance of preserving functional diversity to hedge against uncertain climates in the future.
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2010
- Bibcode:
- 2010AGUFM.B22A..08P
- Keywords:
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- 0410 BIOGEOSCIENCES / Biodiversity;
- 0414 BIOGEOSCIENCES / Biogeochemical cycles;
- processes;
- and modeling;
- 0428 BIOGEOSCIENCES / Carbon cycling;
- 1631 GLOBAL CHANGE / Land/atmosphere interactions