Hydroelectric Optimized System Sensitivity to Climate
Abstract
This paper compares the response of a large hydro system, globally optimized for daily operations, under a range of reservoir system inflows. The modeled system consists of Projects and hydro operating constraints on the South Saskatchewan River, Lake Winnipeg, Southern Indian Lake, Churchill Diversion, Red River, Winnipeg River, and the Nelson River. The river system is continental in scale, stretching from the Rocky Mountains to Hudson Bay. The hydro storage is large enough to operate with a two year cycle, which includes freezeup conditions. The objective is to maximize seasonal value of energy generation over a two year time horizon. Linear and quadratic constraints represent reservoir stage-storage curves, tailwater stage-discharge curves, transient river routing, and seasonally dependent environmental constraints on operations. This paper describes the optimization modeling approaches used to represent an actual physical system and to accommodate uncertainties in the historical datasets used for calibration. The results are hypothetical, not a forecast.
- Publication:
-
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2009
- Bibcode:
- 2009AGUFM.H34B..05H
- Keywords:
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- 1833 HYDROLOGY / Hydroclimatology