DEMAND 77: EPRI annual energy forecasts and consumption model. Volume 1: Forecasts and general description of the model
Abstract
Forecasts of end-use consumption of electricity, petroleum, natural gas, and coal for the years 1980 to 2000 are presented. The forecasts are based on an econometric model whose equations represent energy consumption of each form of energy in each end-use sector. The forecasts are based on a forecast of longrun economic growth coupled with three scenarios concerning energy prices and conservation policy. Each of the scenarios was coupled with two scenarios concerning natural gas availability, one in which natural gas is freely available at the assumed price. Forecasts are presented for each of the sectors and for each of the forms of energy by five-year periods. The structure of the econometric model is described along with plans for further development.
- Publication:
-
NASA STI/Recon Technical Report N
- Pub Date:
- March 1978
- Bibcode:
- 1978STIN...7832563W
- Keywords:
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- Demand (Economics);
- Energy Policy;
- Fossil Fuels;
- Mathematical Models;
- Technological Forecasting;
- Economic Factors;
- Energy Conservation;
- Energy Consumption;
- Nuclear Electric Power Generation;
- Energy Production and Conversion