Dynamic causal modelling of mitigated epidemiological outcomes
Abstract
This technical report describes the rationale and technical details for the dynamic causal modelling of mitigated epidemiological outcomes based upon a variety of timeseries data. It details the structure of the underlying convolution or generative model (at the time of writing on 6-Nov-20). This report is intended for use as a reference that accompanies the predictions in following dashboard: https://www.fil.ion.ucl.ac.uk/spm/covid-19/dashboard
- Publication:
-
arXiv e-prints
- Pub Date:
- November 2020
- DOI:
- 10.48550/arXiv.2011.12400
- arXiv:
- arXiv:2011.12400
- Bibcode:
- 2020arXiv201112400F
- Keywords:
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- Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution;
- Physics - Physics and Society