Prediction of citation dynamics of individual papers
Abstract
We apply stochastic model of citation dynamics of individual papers developed in our previous work (M. Golosovsky and S. Solomon, Phys. Rev. E\textbf{ 95}, 012324 (2017)) to forecast citation career of individual papers. We focus not only on the estimate of the future citations of a paper but on the probabilistic margins of such estimate as well.
- Publication:
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arXiv e-prints
- Pub Date:
- October 2019
- arXiv:
- arXiv:1910.00867
- Bibcode:
- 2019arXiv191000867G
- Keywords:
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- Physics - Physics and Society;
- Computer Science - Digital Libraries;
- Statistics - Applications
- E-Print:
- 15 pages,4 figures