Impacts of Green-New-Deal Energy Plans on Grid Stability, Costs, Jobs, Health, and Climate in 143 Countries
Abstract
Roadmaps are developed for 143 countries of the world to transition their all-purpose energy (electricity, transportation, heating/cooling, industry, agriculture/forestry/fishing, military) from business-as-usual (BAU) to 100% wind-water-solar (WWS) and storage. These roadmaps are akin to Green New Dealenergy roadmaps for these countries. The countries are then grouped into 24 regions to study matching demand with 100% WWS supply plus electricity, heat, cold, and hydrogen storage every 30 seconds for three years. Stable (no-load-loss) solutions are found in all 24 regions. New metrics are derived to evaluate private and social costs of WWS versus BAU. Although WWS' mean private cost of energy (electricity, heat, cold, and hydrogen energy), storage, and transmission per unit energy is only 10% less than BAU's, WWS has a 61% lower aggregate private cost and 91% lower aggregate social cost (private plus health plus climate cost). Whereas BAU's 2050 annual social cost is 78 trillion/yr (17.7 trillion/yr for energy), WWS needs only 6.8 trillion/yr (2013 USD). The capital cost of installing WWS systems among 143 countries is ~73 trillion. The U.S. Green New Dealtotals ~$7.8 trillion in capital cost but has 64% and 89% lower aggregate private and social energy costs, respectively, than BAU, while creating 3.1 million more long-term, full time jobs for the U.S.
- Publication:
-
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2019
- Bibcode:
- 2019AGUFMPA32A..01J
- Keywords:
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- 0230 Impacts of climate change: human health;
- GEOHEALTH;
- 0231 Impacts of climate change: agricultural health;
- GEOHEALTH;
- 0232 Impacts of climate change: ecosystem health;
- GEOHEALTH;
- 1605 Abrupt/rapid climate change;
- GLOBAL CHANGE