On spatial scale changes in extreme precipitation events over Europe for different climate targets
Abstract
Although many studies have indicated that it is likely that the frequency of such events will increase in a warmer climate, little has been done to assess if and how the spatial structure and scale could evolve. Using the 0.11° grid mesh EURO-CORDEX ensemble, this study investigates how the spatial scale of extreme precipitation according to different climate targets evolve as a consequence of the warming. Our results show that the members of the hindcast members show similar results when compared with several dataset. To analyze the evolution of the spatial scales, climate targets such as 1°C, 2°C and 3°C are used. Our results suggest that not only the intensity of such events increase, but their size (the geographical area impacted) will also change in a warmer future simulated according to the representative concentration pathway 8.5.
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2019
- Bibcode:
- 2019AGUFM.A43O3029M
- Keywords:
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- 3305 Climate change and variability;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES;
- 3354 Precipitation;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES;
- 1854 Precipitation;
- HYDROLOGY;
- 4313 Extreme events;
- NATURAL HAZARDS