We first describe a general class of optimization problems that describe many natural, economic, and statistical phenomena. After noting the existence of a conserved quantity in a transformed coordinate system, we outline several instances of these problems in statistical physics, facility allocation, and machine learning. A dynamic description and statement of a partial inverse problem follow. When attempting to optimize the state of a system governed by the generalized equipartitioning principle, it is vital to understand the nature of the governing probability distribution. We show that optimiziation for the incorrect probability distribution can have catastrophic results, e.g., infinite expected cost, and describe a method for continuous Bayesian update of the posterior predictive distribution when it is stationary. We also introduce and prove convergence properties of a time-dependent nonparametric kernel density estimate (KDE) for use in predicting distributions over paths. Finally, we extend the theory to the case of networks, in which an event probability density is defined over nodes and edges and a system resource is to be partitioning among the nodes and edges as well. We close by giving an example of the theory's application by considering a model of risk propagation on a power grid.
- Pub Date:
- March 2018
- Mathematics - Optimization and Control;
- Condensed Matter - Statistical Mechanics;
- 65K10 (Primary);
- 46N10 (Secondary)
- 61 pages, 10 figures. MS thesis in Mathematics at the University of Vermont