Asymmetric response of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific During ENSO Subsequent Years
Abstract
The paper examines the relationships between ENSO events and tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) during the ENSO decaying phase of March to July [MAMJJ(1)]. It is shown that WNP TC response is asymmetric to ENSO warm and cold events during MAMJJ(1), associated with the asymmetric patterns of oceanic and atmospheric environmental variables. Eastern Pacific warm events correspond to a westward shift in TC genesis location and a significant decrease of the TC number in the southwest subregion of the WNP, which is consistent with unfavorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions for TC activity during MAMJJ(1). Correspondingly, there is a much less WNP TC number, a shorter TC duration, and a decreased tendency in all three primary TC tracks. During MAMJJ(1) of eastern Pacific cold events, an increased TC activity in the northeast subregion results in an enhanced TC genesis number in the WNP. Central Pacific ENSO events have little effect on WNP TC activity during MAMJJ(1), except that central Pacific warm events are unfavorable for TCs to form in the northwest subregion associated with atmospheric and oceanic conditions.
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2018
- Bibcode:
- 2018AGUFM.A43Q3387L
- Keywords:
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- 3315 Data assimilation;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSESDE: 3360 Remote sensing;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSESDE: 3372 Tropical cyclones;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSESDE: 4313 Extreme events;
- NATURAL HAZARDS