Understanding the d18O Response to Precession in the South Asian Monsoon Region

Speleothem records from the South Asian Monsoon (SAM) region display d18O variability at orbital frequencies. The dominant mode of variability in many of these records reflects cycles of precession. There are several potential explanations for why speleothem records from the SAM region show a strong precession signal, including the amount effect, temperature differences, and circulation changes. Here, we use a version of the Community Earth System Model with water isotope tracking capability to explore the mechanisms responsible for precession driven d18O variability in the SAM region. By using a fully coupled model with idealized orbits and regional isotope tracking techniques, we are able to tease apart the various contributions to the precession driven d18O signal found in the SAM speleothem records. Our preliminary results suggest that neither the amount effect nor temperature differences cause the majority of SAM d18O response to changes in precession. Instead, changes in the relative moisture contributions from different source regions drive much of the d18O variability. During Northern Hemisphere summer at aphelion, much of the SAM precipitation sources from the nearby ocean. The nearby location of these sources limits the amount of rainout that occurs before reaching the SAM region, which results in a relatively enriched precipitation d18O signal. Conversely, during Northern Hemisphere summer at perihelion, a greater portion of the SAM precipitation sources from far away regions such as the Southern Hemisphere and Northern Africa. Water vapor from these sources is more depleted by the time it reaches the SAM region, leading to precipitation relatively depleted in d18O as well. Further, we find that the modeled d18O signals of soil water better match the d18O signals in the SAM speleothems, suggesting that local evaporation also plays an important role.