Impact of a Stochastic Parameterization Scheme on El Nino-Southern Oscillation in the Community Climate System Model
Abstract
Stochastic parameterizations have been used for more than a decade in atmospheric models. They provide a way to represent model uncertainty through representing the variability of unresolved sub-grid processes, and have been shown to have a beneficial effect on the spread and mean state for medium- and extended-range forecasts. There is increasing evidence that stochastic parameterization of unresolved processes can improve the bias in mean and variability, e.g. by introducing a noise-induced drift (nonlinear rectification), and by changing the residence time and structure of flow regimes. We present results showing the impact of including the Stochastically Perturbed Parameterization Tendencies scheme (SPPT) in coupled runs of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Atmosphere Model, version 4 (CAM4) with historical forcing. SPPT results in a significant improvement in the representation of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation in CAM4, improving the power spectrum, as well as both the inter- and intra-annual variability of tropical pacific sea surface temperatures. We use a Linear Inverse Modelling framework to gain insight into the mechanisms by which SPPT has improved ENSO-variability.
- Publication:
-
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2017
- Bibcode:
- 2017AGUFMNG41A0112C
- Keywords:
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- 3337 Global climate models;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES;
- 3367 Theoretical modeling;
- ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES;
- 3265 Stochastic processes;
- MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICS;
- 4532 General circulation;
- OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL