Modelling Earthquakes Using a Poro-Elastic Two-Phase Flow Formulation

Seismicity along subduction zones ranges from large devastating megathrust earthquakes to aseismic slow slip events. These different slip phenomena are widely believed to be influenced by fluids and interactions of fluids with the host rock. To understand the slip or strain mode along the megathrust interface, it is thus crucial to understand the role of fluids. Considering the spatiotemporal limitations of observations, a promising approach is to develop a numerical model that couples the deformation of both fluids and solids in a single framework. The objective of this study is the development of such a seismo-hydro-mechanical approach and the subsequent identification of parameters that control the mode of slip. We present a newly developed finite difference visco-elasto-plastic numerical code with marker-in-cell technique, which fully couples inertial mechanical deformation and fluid flow. It allows for the accurate treatment of localised brittle/plastic deformation through global iterations. To accurately simulate both long- and short-term deformation an adaptive time step is introduced. This makes it possible to resolve seismic event with time steps on the order of milliseconds. We use this new tool to investigate how the presence of fluids in the pore space of an visco-elasto-brittle/plastic (de)compacting rock matrix affects elastic stress accumulation and release along a fluid-bearing subduction interface. The model is able to simulate spontaneous quasi-periodic seismic events, nucleating near the brittle-ductile transition zone, along self-consistently forming highly localized ruptures, which accommodate shear displacement between two plates. The generated elastic rebound events show slip velocities on the order of m/s. The governing gradual strength decrease along the propagating fracture is related to a drop in total pressure due to shear localization in combination with an increase in fluid pressure due to elastic compaction of the pore space in a rock with low permeability (6e-19 m2). Reduction of the differential pressure decreases brittle/plastic strength of fluid-bearing rocks along the rupture, thus providing a dynamic feedback mechanism for the accumulated elastic stress release at the subduction interface.