Topography of the overriding plate during progressive subduction: A dynamic model to explain forearc subsidence

Topography that forms at the free top surface of the lithosphere contains important information about the dynamics of the tectonic plates and the sub-lithospheric mantle. Investigating topography around subduction zones can provide quantitative and conceptual insights into the interaction between the plates, the slabs, mantle flow, and the associated stresses. To achieve this, geodynamic modelling can be an effective tool. In this study, we used techniques of stereoscopic photogrammetry and Particle Image Velocimetry to monitor simultaneously the topography of the overriding plate and the velocity field of the subduction-induced mantle flow occurring in the mantle wedge. Model results show that the overriding plate topography is characterized by an area of forearc topographic subsidence, with a magnitude scaling to 1.44-3.97 km in nature, and a transient local topographic high located between the forearc depression and the trench. These topographic features rapidly develop during the slab sinking phase and gradually decrease during the slab rollback phase. We propose that these topographic transient features predominantly result from the variation of the vertical component of the trench suction along the subduction zone interface, which is minimum near the trench and maximum near the tip of the mantle wedge and is caused by the gradual slab steepening during the initial transient slab sinking phase. The downward mantle flow in the nose of the mantle wedge plays a minor role in the formation of the forearc subsidence. Our findings provide a new mechanism for the formation of forearc topographic subsidence, which has been commonly observed at natural subduction zones.