Analysis of the spatial-temporal change and impact factors of the vegetation index in Yulin of China: the effect of forest conservation and grain for green

Since 1999, China began the Grain for Green program to conserve the forest in the north of China. After 17 years, the vegetation in the north has changed. Vegetation index is an important method to study the regional vegetation change. This study is based on MODIS/Terra NDVI remote sensing data, and analyzes the spatial-temporal changes and the impact factors of the NDVI in August from 2000 to 2016 at pixel scale in Yulin City of Shaanxi Province in China. The results showed that, on about 96.44% of the region in the Yulin city, vegetation index increased, and the area with increasing NDVI between 0-0.02/a accounts for 93.63% of Yulin city. The area with significant increasing trend accounts for 80.72%. The complex linear regression analysis showed that, the meteorological factors play a positive role in the growth and evolution of vegetation, and human activities also make the vegetation index become more uniform. The area, where the human activities restrain the growth and evolution of the vegetation, is 45.04% of the Yulin area. It is mainly distributed in Fugu County which located in the north of Yulin, and most areas of southern and western parts of Yulin. The area where human activities promote the increase of the vegetation index, accounted for 54.96% of the Yulin area, which indicated that on more than half of the region, human activities have played a positive role in the growth of vegetation. In these areas, the effect of forest conservation, and grain for green (i.e. returning farmland to forests, and returning pasturage to natural grassland) is better.