Vegetative Succession in Recently Deglaciated Land in Kenai Fjords National Park

Poleward vegetation expansion has affected Alaska for decades and due to recently increased rates of warming, the expansion will accelerate. Glacial recession in Kenai Fjords National Park has exposed previously ice-covered land with vegetation succession occurring just a few years following glacial retreat. Land cover changes in recently deglaciated areas are affected by surface-air interactions, temperature gradients, and ecosystem development. Using satellite images from Landsat 5, 7, and 8 and the previous extents of four retreating glaciers from 1985 to 2015 within Kenai Fjords National Park, this study examines the relationship between deglaciation rates and vegetation greening. The glaciers, Exit (-15.04 m/yr), Petrof (-31.12 m/yr), Lowell (-33.14 m/yr), and Yalik (-51.32 m/yr) were selected based on their location, whether they were land or lake terminating, and their average retreat rate measured between 1985 and 2015. These glaciers have also been extensively studied. Combining historic glacier extents with 371 summer (JJA) Landsat images gathered from Google's Earth Engine platform we identified annual summer changes in NDVI of locations that were deglaciated between 1985, 1995, 2005, and 2015. Summer temperature maximums were determined to be more correlated with deglaciation, as measured using NDSI, than mean summer temperatures. Using NDVI, heightened deglaciation rates were found to be reasonably correlated with vegetation succession. The faster retreating glaciers, Lowell and Yalik, exhibited higher mean and maximum rates of increase of NDVI in their terminus areas than Exit and Petrof, the two slower retreating glaciers.