Characterization and predictability of basin scale SWE distributions using ASO snow depth and SWE retrievals

The spatial and temporal distribution of snow water resources (SWE) in the mountains has been examined extensively through the use of models, in-situ networks and remote sensing techniques. However, until the Airborne Snow Observatory (http://aso.jpl.nasa.gov), our understanding of SWE dynamics has been limited due to a lack of well-constrained spatial distributions of SWE in complex terrain, particularly at high elevations and at regional scales (100km+). ASO produces comprehensive snow depth measurements and well-constrained SWE products providing the opportunity to re-examine our current understanding of SWE distributions with a robust and rich data source. We collected spatially-distributed snow depth and SWE data from over 150 individual ASO acquisitions spanning seven basins in California during the five-year operational period of 2013 - 2017. For each of these acquisitions, we characterized the spatial distribution of snow depth and SWE and examined how these distributions changed with time during snowmelt. We compared these distribution patterns between each of the seven basins and finally, examined the predictability of the SWE distributions using statistical extrapolations through both space and time. We compare and contrast these observationally-based characteristics with those from a physically-based snow model to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of the implementation of our understanding of SWE processes in the model environment. In practice, these results may be used to support or challenge our current understanding of mountain SWE dynamics and provide techniques for enhanced evaluation of high-resolution snow models that go beyond in-situ point comparisons. In application, this work may provide guidance on the potential of ASO to guide backfilling of sparse spaceborne measurements of snow depth and snow water equivalent.