Effect of Climate Change on Vegetation Phenology of Different Land Cover Types on the Tibetan Plateau

Vegetation phenology is one of the most sensitive bio-indicators of climate change, and it has received increasing interests in the context of global warming. As one of the most sensitive areas to global change, the Tibetan Plateau is a unique region to study the trends in vegetation phenology in response to climate change because of its unique vegetation composition, climate features and low-level human disturbance. Although some studies have aroused wide controversies about the actual plant phenology patterns in the Tibetan Plateau, yet the reasons remain unclear. In particular, the phenology characteristics of sparse herbaceous or sparse shrub and evergreen forest that are mostly located in the northwest and southeast of the Tibetan Plateau remain less studied. In this study, the spatio-temporal patterns of the start (SOS), end (EOS) and length (LOS) of the vegetation growing season for six vegetation types in the Tibetan Plateau, including evergreen broadleaf forests, evergreen coniferous forests, evergreen shrub, meadow, steppe and sparse herbaceous or sparse shrub, were quantified from 1982 to 2014 using NOAA/AVHRR NDVI data set at a spatial resolution of 0.05°×0.05° and 7-day intervals using NDVI relative change rate threshold and sixth order polynomial fit models. Assisted with the monthly precipitation and temperature data, the relative effects of changing climates on the variability of phenology were also examined. Diverse phenological changes were observed for different land cover types, with an advancing start of growing season (SOS), delaying end of growing season (EOS) and increasing length of growing season (LOS) in the eastern Tibetan Plateau where meadow was the dominant vegetation type, but with the opposite changes in the steppe and sparse herbaceous or sparse shrub regions which are mostly located in the northwestern and western edges of the Tibetan Plateau. Correlation analysis indicated that sufficient preseason precipitation may delay the SOS of evergreen forests in the southeastern Plateau and advance the SOS of steppe and sparse herbaceous or sparse shrub in relatively arid areas, while the advance of SOS in meadow areas could be related to higher preseason temperature.