Ecosystem Dynamics and Fate of Warm Permafrost after Tundra Wildfire on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta

The Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta (YKD) encompasses the southernmost, warmest parts of the arctic tundra biome. Ice-rich permafrost currently is widespread and strongly influences terrestrial and aquatic environments. In 2015, the YKD experienced large wildfires across >1,200 km2 of permafrost-affected upland tundra. Although the 2015 fire season was exceptional, tundra fire is common in this region with episodes of historical fire circa 2005, 1985, and 1971, offering a natural laboratory for understanding the ecosystem impacts of tundra fire in a discontinuous permafrost region during a period of warming air and ground temperatures. In 2017, we collected field data on vegetation, soils, and burn severity within recent and historical burns and unburned tundra. Using these data we mapped the cover of plant functional types (PFTs) using Landsat imagery and analyzed patterns of correspondence between vegetation species-composition and structure; soil properties; fire history; and long-term changes associated with pond drainage. We also tested for differences in biophysical properties among the tundra fire epochs and unburned tundra. Vegetation in unburned tundra was dominated by lichens, whereas burned areas support enhanced cover of shrubs and mosses; however, post-fire shrub cover was composed of the same low-statured species common to unburned tundra and we seldom observed sites colonized by taller, canopy-forming species. Geomorphology and soils were similar between 1971 and 1985 burn areas and unburned tundra, likely because thick peat layers protected ice-rich permafrost and conferred ecosystem resilience after fire. While this historical perspective suggests that peaty soils will moderate the impact of the 2015 fires, we observed secondary impacts related to permafrost degradation in circa 2005 fires that were not evident in older burns, such as thaw-settlement, increased surface wetness, complex microtopography, and progressive mortality of shrubs. These contrasts represent persistent, rather than successional shifts and suggest that upland ecosystems of the YKD may be less resilient to wildfire disturbance than they were in the past.