Continuous-Time, Discrete-Event Simulation from Counting Processes
Abstract
This is a method for discrete event simulation specified by survival analysis. It presents a sequence of steps. First, hazard rates from survival analysis specify the rates of a set of counting processes. Second, those counting processes define a transition kernel. Third, there are four different ways to sample that transition kernel, including a first-principles derivation of exact stochastic simulation algorithms (SSA) in continuous time. This simulation allows time-dependent intensities which include both continuous and atomic components. Separating the steps involved makes a clear correspondence between mathematical formulation and algorithmic implementation.
- Publication:
-
arXiv e-prints
- Pub Date:
- October 2016
- arXiv:
- arXiv:1610.03939
- Bibcode:
- 2016arXiv161003939D
- Keywords:
-
- Statistics - Computation;
- Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution;
- I.6.1;
- I.6.8;
- G.3
- E-Print:
- 17 pages, 1 figure