Weather instabilities as a warning sign for a nearby climatic tipping point?
Abstract
Using in a simple way the theory of non linear dynamical systems, we show that increasing climatic instabilities may be a qualitative warning sign for the occurrence of a nearby bifurcation, yielding a discontinuous and sudden climate tipping towards an unknown and unpredictable state. The possibility of an accurate prediction of the occurrence time of such a transition is also discussed in terms of the approach of a critical point.
- Publication:
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arXiv e-prints
- Pub Date:
- September 2016
- DOI:
- 10.48550/arXiv.1609.05098
- arXiv:
- arXiv:1609.05098
- Bibcode:
- 2016arXiv160905098L
- Keywords:
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- Physics - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics;
- Nonlinear Sciences - Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
- E-Print:
- 9 pages, 1 figure. Original paper