Terrestrial Planets across Space and Time
Abstract
The study of cosmology, galaxy formation, and exoplanets has now advanced to a stage where a cosmic inventory of terrestrial planets (TPs) may be attempted. By coupling semianalytic models of galaxy formation to a recipe that relates the occurrence of planets to the mass and metallicity of their host stars, we trace the population of TPs around both solar-mass (FGK type) and lower-mass (M dwarf) stars throughout all of cosmic history. We find that the mean age of TPs in the local universe is 7+/- 1 {Gyr} for FGK hosts and 8+/- 1 {Gyr} for M dwarfs. We estimate that hot Jupiters have depleted the population of TPs around FGK stars by no more than ≈ 10 % , and that only ≈ 10 % of the TPs at the current epoch are orbiting stars in a metallicity range for which such planets have yet to be confirmed. The typical TP in the local universe is located in a spheroid-dominated galaxy with a total stellar mass comparable to that of the Milky Way. When looking at the inventory of planets throughout the whole observable universe, we argue for a total of ≈ 1× {10}19 and ≈ 5× {10}20 TPs around FGK and M stars, respectively. Due to light travel time effects, the TPs on our past light cone exhibit a mean age of just 1.7 ± 0.2 Gyr. These results are discussed in the context of cosmic habitability, the Copernican principle, and searches for extraterrestrial intelligence at cosmological distances.
- Publication:
-
The Astrophysical Journal
- Pub Date:
- December 2016
- DOI:
- 10.3847/1538-4357/833/2/214
- arXiv:
- arXiv:1602.00690
- Bibcode:
- 2016ApJ...833..214Z
- Keywords:
-
- cosmology: miscellaneous;
- extraterrestrial intelligence;
- galaxies: formation;
- planets and satellites: terrestrial planets;
- Astrophysics - Astrophysics of Galaxies;
- Astrophysics - Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics;
- Astrophysics - Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
- E-Print:
- 11 pages, 8 figures. v.2: Accepted for publication in ApJ. Some changes in quantitative results compared to v.1, mainly due to differences in IMF assumptions