Differential Drag Analysis to Infer the Geometrical Configuration of a Cubesat

On May 16th, 2016, the Miniature X-ray Solar Spectrometer (MinXSS) and the CubeSat investigating Atmospheric Density Response to Extreme driving (CADRE) were deployed from the International Space Station. While communication with MinXSS was quickly established, it has been impossible to interact with CADRE thus far. A likely reason could be that its solar panels did not open, preventing the antenna from fully functioning and eliminating communication with the ground stations. An orbit propagator that was developed for mission design and analysis was used to model the trajectories of the satellites. By comparing the drag accelerations on the two CubeSats, we are attempting to infer the number of solar panels that CADRE deployed. Ensemble simulations allow the modeling of uncertainties on its attitude, as it is likely to tumble if no solar panel was deployed. This technique introduces many challenges, as there are many unknowns, including the drag coefficient, the attitude, and the thermospheric density. We present results of this study, as well as these challenges that were encountered.