The Impact of Climate Change on Photosynthesis: Modeling the Role of Water Use Efficiency and Nitrogen Use Efficiency in Alpine Tundra Plant Communities

In the coming years, climate change will affect spatio-temporal patterns of water and nutrient availability in soils. Plant communities and their ability to optimize these limiting resources will analogously shift, causing changes in net photosynthesis. In order to assess this transition, we have developed a quantitative model that incorporates the effects of both water and nutrient limitations on the photosynthetic capacity of plants. In the model, plants increase their water use efficiency (WUE) if soil moisture is most limiting to plant growth and increase their nutrient use efficiency (NUE) if soil nutrients are most limiting to plant growth. Furthermore, WUE and NUE are inversely related. The model predicts that as WUE increases and NUE decreases, photosynthesis increases until reaching a maximum value. Furthermore, more drastic changes in photosynthesis are observed when WUE is perturbed at lower values as compared to higher values. The model will be validated and if necessary, reparametrized using data collected from plant communities at the Niwot Ridge Long Term Ecological Research site. The dominant plants that we are measuring at this site are located in the dry, moist, and wet alpine meadows where soils have different concentrations of water and nutrients. We are measuring photosynthesis rates, transpiration rates, and leaf nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) of four different plant species: 1 dry meadow species, 1 moist meadow species, 1 wet meadow species, and a control species that occurs in all of the meadows. This data will in turn be used to calculate WUE and NUE for each plant species to allow for a comparison with model predictions. In order to assess the difference in net photosynthetic capacity between plants that have greater WUE versus plants that have greater NUE, we will generate A/ci curves for each species, where ci is the concentration of carbon dioxide in the chloroplast and A is the maximum photosynthesis. The validated photosynthesis model will be linked to a biogeochemical model that models the effect of climate change on soil water and nutrients. The ultimate goal is to use the two combined models to understand how climate change will affect patterns of photosynthesis.