Investigating the impact of a northerly low-level jet on GHG flux estimates for Indianapolis using WRF-LETKF

Northerly, low-level jets (LLJ's) often developed over the Great Lakes region during the cool season and are linked to wintertime blizzards, development and spread of large wildfires, and the transport and dispersion of air pollutants. However, our knowledge regarding northerly LLJ's is still limited. In the present study, characteristics and mechanisms of the formation and evolution of the northerly LLJ are investigated based on a case study by using the local ensemble transform Kalman Filter data (LETKF) assimilation system and Weather Research Forecasting model (WRF). Results are carefully evaluated using data sets collected by the HALO Photonics Lidar Profiler and aircraft flight over Indianapolis during the INFLUX experiment on October 1, 2014. It is found that the northerly LLJ exhibited typical meso-scale, but non-typical diurnal variation characteristics. During its life cycle the northerly LLJ is shown to be supergeostrophic which suggests that except for the synoptic system forcing and upper and low-level jets interactions the inertial oscillation may also contribute to the formation of the northerly LLJ and it may be triggered by the weakening of the turbulent mixing related to a strong temperature inversion developed by frontogenesis. The frontal inversion associated with the LLJ is found to be critical to the dispersion and transportation of the trace gases over Indiana. A backward trajectory analysis based on the HYSPLIT dispersion model suggests that the inversion forces the pollution to be advected by the LLJ aloft. The flux of pollutants including GHG's is heavily impacted by upwind sources and downward mixing into the PBL over Indianapolis. Consideration of these circulations improves estimates of urban GHG emissions. Keywords WRF-LETKF, Northerly low-level jet, air pollution, frontal inversion