Evaluation of chemical simulations from EMEP4ASIA

The EMEP/MSC-W chemistry transport model (CTM) has been used for decades to simulate concentrations of surface air pollutants over Europe and to calculate source-receptor relationships between European countries. Within the framework of the operational air pollution forecasts for East Asia, being offered by the EU project PANDA, this study aims to evaluate the EMEP/MSC-W CTM in simulating high pollution events over Asian cities. This work is the first attempt to use this CTM with a fine horizontal resolution (0.1°×0.1°) over Asia and to simulate the pollution over urban regions. The main part of the work has been to focus on the evaluation of the EMEP/MSC-W CTM with measurements from different platforms (satellite, ground-based, in situ) and to identify the biases or the errors in the simulation. This evaluation is important in order to establish the capabilities of the model to identify air pollution sources. Regional distributions and temporal variation of main pollutants are thus discussed. For example, the daily variation in Ox is well captured while the NOx is under-predicted and the O3 is overestimated, especially in winter. The CTM performs also very well on day-to-day variation in PM25 or on the regional distribution in CO total column as over Beijing.