Approximate maximum likelihood estimation using data-cloning ABC
Abstract
A maximum likelihood methodology for a general class of models is presented, using an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach. The typical target of ABC methods are models with intractable likelihoods, and we combine an ABC-MCMC sampler with so-called "data cloning" for maximum likelihood estimation. Accuracy of ABC methods relies on the use of a small threshold value for comparing simulations from the model and observed data. The proposed methodology shows how to use large threshold values, while the number of data-clones is increased to ease convergence towards an approximate maximum likelihood estimate. We show how to exploit the methodology to reduce the number of iterations of a standard ABC-MCMC algorithm and therefore reduce the computational effort, while obtaining reasonable point estimates. Simulation studies show the good performance of our approach on models with intractable likelihoods such as g-and-k distributions, stochastic differential equations and state-space models.
- Publication:
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arXiv e-prints
- Pub Date:
- May 2015
- DOI:
- 10.48550/arXiv.1505.06318
- arXiv:
- arXiv:1505.06318
- Bibcode:
- 2015arXiv150506318P
- Keywords:
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- Statistics - Methodology;
- Statistics - Computation
- E-Print:
- 25 pages. Minor revision. It includes a parametric bootstrap for the exact MLE for the first example