Human population dynamics in Europe over the Last Glacial Maximum

Despite its importance for understanding genetic, cultural, and linguistic evolution, prehistoric human population history has remained difficult to reconstruct. We show that the dynamics of the human population in Europe from 30,000 to 13,000 y ago can be simulated using ethnographic and paleoclimate data within the climate envelope modeling approach. Correspondence between the population simulation and archaeological data suggests that population dynamics were indeed driven by major climate fluctuations, with population size varying between 130,000 and 410,000 people. Although climate has been an important determinant of human population dynamics, the climatic conditions during the last glacial were not as harsh as is often presented, because even during the coldest phases, the climatically suitable area for humans covered 36% of Europe.