The study on the new approach to the prediction of the solar flares: The statistical relation from the SOHO archive
Abstract
We have investigated the statistical relationship of the solar active region to predict the solar flare event analyzing the sunspot catalogue, which has been newly constructed from the SOHO MDI observation data during the period from 1996 to 2011 (Solar Cycle 23 & 24) by ASSA(Automatic Solar Synoptic Analyzer) algorithms. The prediction relation has been made by machine-learning algorithms to establish a short- term flare prediction model for operational use in near future. In this study, continuum and magnetogram images observed by SOHO has been processed to yield 15-year sunspot group catalogue that contains various physical parameters such as sunspot area, extent, asymmetry measure of largest penumbral sunspot, roughness of magnetic neutral line as well as McIntosh and Mt. Wilson classification results.The latest result of our study will be presented and the new approach to the prediction of the solar flare will be discussed.
- Publication:
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AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts
- Pub Date:
- December 2013
- Bibcode:
- 2013AGUFMSH53A2155L
- Keywords:
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- 7519 SOLAR PHYSICS;
- ASTROPHYSICS;
- AND ASTRONOMY Flares;
- 7524 SOLAR PHYSICS;
- ASTROPHYSICS;
- AND ASTRONOMY Magnetic fields;
- 7594 SOLAR PHYSICS;
- ASTROPHYSICS;
- AND ASTRONOMY Instruments and techniques