Constraining the Carbon Cycle through Tree Rings: A Case Study of the Valles Caldera, NM

Terrestrial ecosystems take up approximately 120 Gt of carbon as Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) from the atmosphere annually, but it is challenging to track the allocation of that carbon throughout the biosphere. Here, we combine eddy covariance measurements of net carbon uptake with above ground biomass increments derived from tree-ring data to better understand the interannual variability associated with biomass accumulation. In the summer of 2012, we collected tree cores near two eddy covariance towers in the Jemez Mountains of northern New Mexico. One tower was located in an upper elevation mixed-conifer forest, and the other in a lower elevation Pinus ponderosa forest. Our analysis shows that the annual above ground biomass increment accounted for approximately 40% of the GPP at the lower elevation Pinus ponderosa site and approximately 70% of GPP at the upper elevation mixed-conifer site. We have also used the above ground biomass increment to constrain the Simple Photosynthesis EvapoTranspiration (SiPNET) model to gain a better understanding of allocation within the forest. Tree growth at both elevations was negatively influenced by spring (March-June) temperature and positively by cool season (October-April) precipitation and warm (May-September) and cool season PDSI. We also analyzed the six most extreme temperature and moisture (PDSI) years of the record to determine the response of productivity to climatic forcing. During the driest years, biomass production was reduced by 40% at the upper elevation site and 43% at the lower elevation site. During the hottest years of the record the biomass decreased 28% at the upper site and 45% at the lower site. Our results indicate that tree rings can be used to effectively constrain the above ground biomass component of a forest's carbon budget and to estimate allocation of carbon to woody biomass as a function of climate. However, many variables remain unknown. The combined results of the extreme year analyses and the derived biomass increments illustrate that the forests at the Valles Caldera are considerably less productive during years of extreme drought and warmer than average temperatures. With future projections calling for consecutive years of extreme conditions in the American Southwest, this could have a substantial effect on the overall productivity of these forests.